How Expectations regarding the mountain of the Altcoin seasonThe up-to-date technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC.D) domination will draw the striking similarities between market cycles 2021 and 2025, aimed at determining whether Altcoins are on the edge of another bull. Historically, the domination of Bitcoins was a key indicator of the prediction of Altcoin’s probability, like decrease in btc.d It often signals the change of investors to alternative cryptocurrencies.

Historical signal of Bitcoin domination possible Altcoin season

LUCA cryptographic analyst on X (previously Twitter) questions whether the story repeats when similar trends from previous markets appear in the current cycle. Analyst common Two parallel charts that track the capitalization of the Bitcoin domination market and The beginning of the Altcoin season.

The chart was compared by capitalization Bull market in 2021 At that time, many investors expected to start the Altcoin season immediately after BTC.D reached resistance in time. To the surprise of the wider market, the domination of Bitcoin went beyond resistance, which leads to Mass sale in altcoins.

Quickly until 2025, Luca thinks that this narrative is taking place again. Because BTC.D has fallen below 61% of the resistance zone, the market hoped for rotation to Altcoins. Instead, Btc.d increased even higherAgain, departure and releasing the mass capitulation of the Altcoins.

Luca Bitcoin domination chart It shows the resistance zone in which BTC.D tried to break in 2021 and 2025 in both BTC.D cycles ran away from this level of resistance. However, after the change in 2021, the domination of Bitcoins rapidly fell to the green zone between 58% and 60%. This zone corresponded to a solemn rally, which caused the beginning of the Altcoin season.

On the BTC.D chart in 2025, Luca emphasized another green zone by about 54.56%. If historical trends are repeated Btc.d may fall For this low level and potentially start a similar rally to start the expected Altcoin season of this cycle.

At the moment, all eyes are on BTC.D when the market is waiting for another move that could Define the fate of the Altcoins in this bull market. The analyst notes that the key question remains: will the story repeat itself, or will the 2025 cycle take a up-to-date course?

The analyst claims that the Altcoin 2025 season is out of reach

In another X Postcryptographic analyst, Bruce, claims that Altcoin season may not occur In this cycle. It presents the three main reasons for its advantage, emphasizing that during previous cycles the Altcoin season was powered by the main events such as Boom ICO 2017. However, each cycle differs in intensity and may not repeat the same conditions that led to past seasons of Altcoin .

Secondly, Brucek noticed that Altcoins are currently trying to regain the previous Maks, while the domination of the bitcoins is still increasing, currently above 60% of market capitalization. Finally, the analyst suggested that the 2025 Altcoin season is unlikely, unless significant macroeconomic changes occur.

A distinguished picture from Unsplash, tradingview.com chart