The current Bitcoin (BTC) bear market, defined as a 20% or more decline compared to the highest time, is relatively penniless in terms of size and should last only 90 days, according to the market analyst and author of the author Metcalfe law as a model of Bitcoin valuesTimothy Peterson.
Peterson compared The current slowdown of 10 previous bear markets, which occur more or less once a year, and stated that only four bear markets were worse than a decrease in price in terms of duration, including 2018, 2021, 2022 and 2024.
The analyst predicted that BTC would not fall deep below the price level $ 50,000 due to basic adoption trends. However, Peterson also argued that based on the shoot it is unlikely that BTC falls below $ 80,000. The analyst added:
“In the next 30 days there may be a slide, followed by a 20-40% rally after April 15. This can be seen in the charts about 120 days. It would probably be a sufficient header to restore weak hands to the market and drive bitcoins even higher.”
Cryptographic markets have experienced a rapid deterioration of the economic situation after the president of the President of the United States on several American trading partners, which caused a counterattariffs on exports in the USA, which led to fear of the prolonged trading war.
Comparison of each bear from 2025. Source: Timothy Peterson
Related: Is Bitcoin $ 65,000? Traders explain why there are still bears
Investors run away for risk assets as a result of trade war fears
Investors’ appetite in speculative assets decreases because of the ongoing trade war and macroeconomic uncertainty.
Glassnode heating supply metricThe measure of BTC belonging to one week or less fell from 5.9% among the Historical Bull Rally in November 2024 to just 2.3% as of March 20.
According to the Nansen Research analyst, Nicolai Sondergaard, cryptographic markets will have to face war pressure until April 2025, when international negotiations can potentially reduce or spread trade tariffs.
The recent analysis of Cryptochan also shows that most retail traders are already invested in BTC, and has long hoped that the huge rush of retail traders will introduce fresh capital to markets and pushes higher prices in the near future.
The trade war also doubted Bitcoin narrative in a protected marina, because the price of decentralized assets fell on the tariff headers along with other risk and speculative assets.
Warehouse: Bitcoiners are “entirely” on Trump from Bitcoin ’24, but it gets risky
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and commercial movement involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.
