AAVE Price Forecast Summary

• Tiny-term goal (1 week): $182-184 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): range $190-195
• Bullish Breakout Level: $184.75 • Critical Support: $164.51

What cryptocurrency analysts say about Aave

Recent analyst sentiment suggests significant upside potential for AAVE despite current price weakness. Felix Pinkston noted on January 16, 2026: “AAVE shows bullish potential towards the $190-$195 range by February 2026, with the current price at $173.76, providing an opportunity to enter the market despite neutral RSI and bearish MACD momentum.”

Peter Zhang provided a comprehensive Aave forecast on January 17, 2026, stating: “AAVE Price Forecast Summary: Near-Term Target (1 Week): $182-184; Medium-Term Forecast (1 Month): Range $190-195; Bullish Breakout Level: $184.75; Critical Support: $164.51.”

Rebecca Moen reinforced the bullish thesis on January 15, 2026: “AAVE price predictions point to bullish momentum towards $190-$195 by February despite mixed signals. Technical analysis reveals key resistance at $184 with strong retained support.”

The consensus among these analysts indicates a potential upside of 16-19% from current levels, with February 2026 being the target time frame for the $190-195 price range.

AAVE technical analysis breakdown

AAVE is currently trading at $163.19, down 5.64% in the last 24 hours. The token experienced significant volatility with a daily trading range between $156.83 and $177.30, which shows a measure of volatility of the average true range of $8.65.

An RSI reading of 45.41 indicates neutral momentum, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold. This provides flexibility for price movements in both directions. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows that bearish momentum has stalled, which could be grounds for a reversal.

Bollinger Bands analysis shows that AAVE is trading at 38.31% of the band range, closer to the lower band at $150.76 than the upper band at $183.20. This positioning often precedes average reversal moves towards the mid-band at $166.98.

Key moving averages show mixed signals. Both the 7-day SMA at $172.74 and the 50-day SMA at $172.83 are above current prices, indicating near-term bear pressure. However, the 20-day SMA at $166.98 represents nearby resistance that could serve as the first recovery target.

Aave Price Targets: A Bull vs. Bear Case

Bullish scenario

The bullish scenario for AAVE depends on regaining the immediate resistance at $174.72. A successful break above this level could trigger a push towards the mighty resistance at $186.24, which is in line with analyst predictions.

Technical confirmation will occur when the RSI exceeds 50 and the MACD histogram is positive. The $184.75 level identified by analysts is a critical breakout point that could accelerate a move towards the $190-$195 target range.

Confirmation of volume above the current 24-hour average of $20.3 million would strengthen this thesis. The upper end of the Bollinger Band at $183.20 serves as an initial target before the $190-$195 range becomes achievable.

A bearish scenario

Failure to hold the immediate support at $154.25 could result in a further decline towards the mighty support at $145.30. The 200-day SMA at $242.75 remains well above current levels, indicating that the long-term trend has been compromised.

A break below the lower end of the Bollinger Band at $150.76 would signal prolonged weakness. Stochastic indicators at %K: 27.02 and %D: 21.61 show oversold conditions that could worsen if support fails.

Risk factors include broader cryptocurrency market weakness and potential DeFi sector rotation that could push AAVE below key technical levels.

Is it worth buying AAVE? Entry strategy

Current levels around $163 represent a strategic entry opportunity for investors with medium-term horizons. The proximity of analyst-identified support at $164.51 provides a favorable risk-reward setup.

Conservative buyers should wait until the RSI is above 50 and the MACD is positive before entering the market. Aggressive traders may stack on any decline towards the $154.25 support level.

Placing a stop-loss below $145.30 will limit the risk of suffering a loss to approximately 11% from the current level. Scaling goals can start at $174.72, with top goals ranging from $190-195, representing a 16-19% growth potential.

Position sizing should take into account the high volatility of AAVE, with an ATR of $8.65 suggesting that significant daily price fluctuations are normal.

Application

This AAVE price forecast shows mighty recovery potential towards $190-$195 by February 2026, supported by consistent analyst forecasts and favorable risk-reward positioning. A neutral RSI and stalled bearish momentum create conditions for a potential reversal.

While current technical indicators are pointing to mixed signals, the convergence of analyst targets around $190-$195 suggests results are highly likely. Traders should monitor a break of the resistance at $174.72 as confirmation of Aave’s bullish outlook.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

Image source: Shutterstock