AAVE Price Forecast: $190-$195 Target by February 2026 Despite Current Bearish Dynamics

Published on:

Terrill Dicks
January 30, 2026 12:03

AAVE price forecasts indicate a potential rebound to the $190-195 range by February 2026, although current technical indicators suggest caution with an RSI of 36.78 and price near the lower Bollinger Band.


AAVE Price Forecast Summary

• Low-term goal (1 week): $157-162
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): USD 190-195 range
• Bullish breakout level: $157.68
• Critical Support: $149.32

What cryptocurrency analysts say about Aave

The latest analyst forecasts paint a cautiously confident picture of AAVE’s medium-term prospects. According to Caroline Bishop’s January 27 analysis: “AAVE Price Prediction Summary: Short-Term Target (1 Week): $157-162; Medium-Term Forecast (1 Month): Range $190-195; Bullish Breakout Level: $157.68; Critical Support: $149.32.”

Peter Zhang reaffirmed this bullish Aave forecast on January 26, noting that “AAVE shows a potential rebound towards analyst targets of $190-$195 by February 2026 despite the current bearish momentum.” Similarly, Zach Anderson’s Jan. 24 rating found that “Aave (AAVE) is trading at $156.65, with analysts expecting $190-195 by February 2026, although bearish MACD and oversold conditions suggest near-term caution near $151 support.”

These forecasts suggest a consensus among analysts for a potential upside move of 33-36% from current levels, although technical issues remain a concern.

AAVE technical analysis breakdown

AAVE’s current technical picture presents mixed signals that investors should consider carefully. The token listed at $142.96 saw a edged decline of 7.28% in the last 24 hours, with the price ranging between $155.17 and $139.81.

The RSI reading of 36.78 indicates that AAVE is approaching oversold territory but has not yet reached extreme levels, suggesting the potential for further declines before a reversal. The MACD histogram at -0.0000 confirms the bearish momentum, although convergence suggests that selling pressure may be waning.

Perhaps most telling is AAVE’s position within Bollinger Bands. With a %B reading of 0.0313, the token is trading very close to the lower band at $141.70, indicating oversold conditions. The middle band at $161.89 represents the 20-period moving average, which is currently a significant resistance.

Key support and resistance levels reveal a clear technical roadmap. Immediate resistance is located at $152.15, followed by stronger resistance at $161.34. On the other hand, immediate support is located at $136.79 and stronger support is located at $130.62.

Aave Price Targets: A Bull vs. Bear Case

Bullish scenario

The bull case for AAVE price predictions centers on a successful rebound from current oversold levels. If AAVE manages to regain the $157.68 breakout level indicated by analysts, it will signal the beginning of the recovery phase towards the target range of $190-195.

Technical confirmation will occur if the RSI returns above 50, the MACD turns positive and volumes escalate on any upward moves. The 20-day moving average at $161.89 needs to be reclaimed to support this bullish thesis, potentially opening the door to testing the upper Bollinger Band at $182.08 as an interim target.

A bearish scenario

The bear case remains compelling given the current technical deterioration. A break below the critical support at $136.79 could result in accelerated selling towards the $130.62 level. Of greater concern would be failure to maintain analyst support at $149.32, which could invalidate the near-term upside outlook.

Risk factors include continued selling pressure in the broader DeFi sector, potential liquidations if key support levels are broken, and a significant gap between current price and analyst targets, requiring an upside of over 33%.

Is it worth buying AAVE? Entry strategy

For investors considering AAVE, the current technical setup suggests a phased approach. The first potential entry point is near current levels ($142-145), given the proximity of the lower Bollinger Band and support zones identified by analysts.

A more conservative entry strategy would wait for confirmation of a bounce from the support level at $136.79, with a stop-loss placed below $130.62. Aggressive traders may consider entering any break above $152.15 with volume confirmation, targeting the $161-165 resistance zone.

Risk management remains key with AAVE’s 14-day ATR at $8.86, indicating significant daily volatility. Position sizing should account for a potential 6-8% of daily movements in either direction.

Application

This AAVE price forecast presents a cautiously confident outlook despite current technical weakness. While analyst targets of $190-$195 by February 2026 represent significant upside potential, the path higher faces significant technical hurdles.

The convergence of oversold conditions, analyst support and key technical levels around $142-149 suggests a potential turning point. However, investors should remain vigilant for any declines below critical support levels that could invalidate Aave’s bullish outlook.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

Image source: Shutterstock


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