AAVE Price Forecast: Target $140-$145 by March Despite Mixed Technical Signals

Published on:

Dariusz Baru
February 18, 2026 11:19 am

AAVE shows potential for 11-15% upside to the $140-145 range despite the current bearish MACD momentum, with key resistance at $133.63 representing a key breakout level.


Aave (AAVE) is currently trading at $126.35 with mixed technical indicators painting a composite picture of the short-term price action. Despite the bearish MACD trend, the token is showing resistance above key support levels, setting potential upside targets in the coming weeks.

AAVE Price Forecast Summary

• Low-term goal (1 week): $133-135 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): range $140-145
• Bullish Breakout Level: $133.63 • Critical Support: $120.63

What cryptocurrency analysts say about Aave

The latest analyst projections remain cautiously bullish about AAVE’s trajectory. Felix Pinkston forecast upside potential towards the $190-$195 range by February 2026, although this target seems ambitious given current market conditions. Peter Zhang’s more conservative outlook suggested near-term targets of $182-184, while Iris Coleman highlighted mixed signals and concerns about support around the $155 level.

However, these predictions were made when AAVE’s ratings were much higher. Current on-chain metrics suggest a more measured approach is warranted given the token’s recent consolidation phase.

AAVE technical analysis breakdown

The current technical landscape of AAVE presents a mixed but potentially constructive configuration. With AAVE trading at $126.35, the token is trading comfortably above the 20-day SMA of $120.39 and 7-day SMA of $123.99, indicating near-term bullish sentiment despite broader market pressures.

An RSI reading of 46.88 places AAVE in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold. This provides room for upward movement without immediate inverting pressure. However, a MACD histogram of 0.0000 with a negative MACD of -6.2204 indicates bearish momentum that could limit short-term gains.

Bollinger Band analysis shows that AAVE is trading at 0.67 within the bands, closer to the upper band at $138.31 than the lower band at $102.47. This setup suggests fundamental strength, although traders should monitor potential resistance near the upper band.

The average true range of $10.12 indicates moderate volatility, providing opportunities for both short-term investors and those building positions for the long term.

Aave Price Targets: A Bull vs. Bear Case

Bullish scenario

For the bulls, the AAVE price forecast shows initial resistance at $129.99, followed by a critical breakout level at $133.63. A successful break of this robust resistance could push AAVE towards the upper Bollinger Band at $138.31, with further upside potential to $140-145.

The bullish thesis is based on AAVE maintaining support above $123.49 while building momentum in the neutral RSI zone. Increasing trading volume above the current level of $19.6 million would provide additional confirmation of bullish intentions.

A bearish scenario

In a bear scenario, AAVE is testing immediate support at $123.49, with a breakout potentially leading to stronger support at $120.63. Failure to maintain these levels could result in a deterioration of the Aave forecast towards the lower Bollinger Band at $102.47.

The main risk factor remains bearish MACD momentum, which may intensify if broader DeFi sentiment weakens. Additionally, AAVE being positioned well below the 50-day SMA of $146.00 and 200-day SMA of $218.11 indicates long-term technical damage that requires repair.

Is it worth buying AAVE? Entry strategy

For traders considering AAVE positions, the current price of around $126.35 offers a reasonable risk-reward setup. Conservative entries could target the $123.49-$124.27 range, using the recent 24-hour low as a benchmark.

Stop-loss levels should be placed below the robust support at $120.63, limiting the risk of loss to approximately 5%. Profit-taking opportunities appear at $133.63 (initial resistance) and $138.31 (upper Bollinger Band).

Position sizing should take into account AAVE’s daily ATR of $10.12, allowing for normal price fluctuations while maintaining disciplined risk management.

Application

AAVE price forecasts indicate cautious optimism, with next month’s targets of $140-$145, representing a potential enhance of 11-15% from current levels. While technical indicators are showing mixed signals, the token’s ability to stay above key moving averages provides the basis for a recovery.

However, investors should remain vigilant regarding the bearish MACD trend and broader market conditions. Aave’s forecast largely depends on maintaining support above $120.63 while building volume for a sustained break above $133.63.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.

Image source: Shutterstock


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