Rebecca Moen
January 15, 2026 10:20
AAVE price forecasts point to bullish momentum towards $190-195 by February despite mixed signals. Technical analysis reveals key resistance at $184 with robust support.
Aave (AAVE) is currently trading at $176.10, showing resilience above key support levels despite a slight decline of 0.38% over the last 24 hours. The latest technical analysis and analyst forecasts suggest a potential upside towards the $190-195 range in the coming weeks.
AAVE Price Forecast Summary
• Brief-term goal (1 week): $184-186
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): Range $190-195
• Bullish breakout level: $184.57
• Critical Support: $171.90
What cryptocurrency analysts say about Aave
Recent analyst sentiment has become cautiously bullish about AAVE’s near-term prospects. Karolina Bishop noted on January 10, 2026: “AAVE price forecasts indicate a potential upside to the $190-$195 range by February 2026, driven by an oversold RSI rebound and analyst targets to $213. The current $165 level provides an entry opportunity.”
Felix Pinkston provided an updated Aave forecast on January 12, stating: “AAVE price forecasts indicate a potential upside to $190 by the end of the month despite the current trading level of $164.45, with technical analysis revealing mixed signals and analyst targets up to $195.”
Joerg Hiller highlighted the technical setup, noting that “Recent analyst forecasts suggest AAVE could surge 18-25% from current levels, with technical indicators showing mixed signals with the token price trading at $167.02.”
These forecasts are consistent with the current technical picture showing that AAVE is trading well above the levels at which these forecasts were made.
AAVE technical analysis breakdown
The current AAVE technical landscape presents a mixed but potentially bullish setup. With an RSI of 56.11, the token is in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This provides room for upward movement without immediately exhausting momentum.
The MACD histogram is currently reading 0.0000, which indicates that the bearish momentum has stalled, although a clear bullish transition has not yet emerged. More encouraging is AAVE’s position within the Bollinger Bands, trading at 0.82 of the band width, which puts it near the upper resistance at $183.12, but with room to move higher.
The key moving averages tell an fascinating story. AAVE is trading above both the 7-day SMA ($170.84) and the 20-day SMA ($163.63), confirming near-term bullish momentum. However, it remains below the 200-day SMA at $244.82, indicating that the broader trend recovery is still incomplete.
Critical resistance levels include immediate resistance at $180.33 and robust resistance at $184.57. On the other hand, immediate support is at $171.90 and stronger support is at $167.71.
Aave Price Targets: A Bull vs. Bear Case
Bullish scenario
For the bulls, AAVE is breaking the resistance level at $184.57, which would confirm analyst targets of $190-195. This scenario requires:
- The RSI remains above 50, approaching overbought territory
- MACD generates a clear bullish crossover
- Trading volume is rising above the current daily average of $17.2 million
- Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market remain stable
A successful breakout could see AAVE initially test the upper Bollinger Band at $183.12 and then target the $190-195 range by February, as many analysts have predicted.
A bearish scenario
A bear case refers to a situation where AAVE does not maintain its current support levels. Key risk factors include:
- Break below immediate support at $171.90
- RSI drops below 50 and a bear zone begins
- The MACD histogram turns significantly negative
- Broader cryptocurrency market weakness
If the bearish trend continues, AAVE could retest the robust support at $167.71, with further decline potentially targeting the lower Bollinger Band near $144.13.
Is it worth buying AAVE? Entry strategy
Based on current technical conditions, potential entry strategies include:
Conservative approach: Wait for a return to the $171-173 range that coincides with the 7-day moving average and immediate support. This provides better risk and reward positioning.
Aggressive approach: Enter near current levels around $176, with a stop loss below $171 to limit your risk of loss.
Breakout strategy: Wait for a confirmed break above $184.57 on volume and then enter a retest of this level as novel support.
Risk management remains key given AAVE’s daily ATR of $9.47, indicating significant volatility. Position sizing should account for a potential 5-6% of daily movements.
Application
AAVE price forecasts point to a bullish February, with analyst targets of $190-195 looking achievable based on the current technical setup. The token’s position above key short-term moving averages and the neutral RSI underpins the upward move.
However, mixed dynamics indicators suggest caution is warranted. Success depends on a decisive break of the resistance level at $184.57. Current support at $171.90 must hold to maintain Aave’s bullish outlook.
At a moderate confidence level of 65%, a target of $190-195 by February is a reasonable expectation, although investors should prepare for volatility and maintain appropriate risk management.
Disclaimer: This AAVE price prediction is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
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