AAVE Price Forecast: Technical Signals Point to $125 Rebound by March 2026

Published on:

Lawrence Jengar
February 9, 2026 08:20

AAVE is trading at $112.10 with an oversold RSI of 32.44. Technical analysis suggests a potential rebound to resistance at $125, but bearish momentum remains a concern in February.


Aave (AAVE) is currently trading at $112.10, down moderately by 0.12% over the last 24 hours. With the token trading near the lower Bollinger Band and showing oversold conditions, technical indicators suggest that a potential reversal may be on the horizon.

AAVE Price Forecast Summary

Miniature-term goal (1 week): $116-118 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): Range $120-130
Bullish breakout level: $125 • Critical Support: $108.59

What cryptocurrency analysts say about Aave

While detailed analyst forecasts from key opinion leaders are restricted for the current period, historical forecasts from behind schedule January 2026 projected AAVE prices in the range of $190 to $195 by February 2026. However, current market conditions suggest that these forecasts may have been overly positive given the token’s current trading volume.

According to online data and technical analysis platforms, AAVE’s current position indicates a potential oversold recovery, although overall market sentiment remains cautious.

AAVE technical analysis breakdown

The AAVE technical landscape presents a mixed but potentially constructive picture. An RSI reading of 32.44 puts the token in neutral territory with a slight oversold bias, suggesting upside potential if buying interest emerges.

The MACD indicators are showing worrying signals with the histogram at 0.0000 and both the MACD and the signal lines at -13.79, which indicates bearish momentum that has not fully reversed yet. However, this convergence could signal an impending trend change if supported by volume.

AAVE’s position at 0.1888 within the Bollinger Bands puts it much closer to the lower band ($97.57) than the upper band ($174.53), with the middle band at $136.05 serving as a key resistance level. The current price action suggests that the token is testing support levels and may be poised for a rebound.

Moving averages paint a bearish picture on multiple timeframes, with AAVE trading below all major SMAs. The 7-day SMA at $114.66 represents immediate resistance, while the 200-day SMA at $225.21 highlights the significant distance from long-term bull territory.

Aave Price Targets: A Bull vs. Bear Case

Bullish scenario

In a bullish scenario for this AAVE price prediction, the token could target immediate resistance at $114.53 and then a stronger resistance level at $116.97. A break above these levels could push AAVE towards the 7-day SMA at $114.66 and potentially the psychological level of $125.

Technical confirmation of the gains would require the RSI to break above 40, the MACD histogram to turn positive, and trading volume to remain above the recent average of $9.2 million. Aave’s forecast becomes increasingly positive if the token can reclaim the $120 level with confidence.

A bearish scenario

In a bear case, AAVE is testing immediate support at $110.34 and a potentially powerful support level at $108.59. A break below these levels could expose the lower Bollinger Band at $97.57, representing a significant drop of 13% from current levels.

Risk factors include continued bearish momentum in the MACD, failure to sustain above the $110 support zone, and broader DeFi sector weakness that could put pressure on lending protocol tokens.

Is it worth buying AAVE? Entry strategy

For this AAVE price forecast, strategic entry points appear around current levels with proper risk management. Conservative buyers may want to wait for confirmation of a rebound above $114.50 before entering the market, while aggressive investors may consider accumulating in the $110-$112 range.

A stop-loss below $108 will limit downside risk to about 4% from current levels. The risk/reward ratio appears to be favorable for patient investors looking to hold on despite potential volatility, with upside targets providing 10-15% returns over starting levels.

Position sizing should reflect the inherent volatility, with AAVE’s daily ATR of $12.14 indicating that significant intraday price movements are common.

Application

This Aave forecast suggests cautious optimism based on oversold technical conditions and the proximity of a support level. While the AAVE price forecast points to a potential rebound towards $125 in the coming month, investors should keep bearish momentum indicators and broader market conditions in mind.

The combination of an oversold RSI, a lower Bollinger Band position, and established support levels create an asymmetric risk-reward setup favoring patient buyers. However, confirming the trend reversal through improving momentum indicators remains crucial for a sustained upward movement.

Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and subject to high volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.

Image source: Shutterstock


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