On April 6, the Bitcoin price created a death cross on a daily chart-technical pattern in which the 50-day movable (MA) average (MA) falls below the 200-day ma. Historically related to the reversal of trends and long commercial periods, this ominous signal sometimes preceded sedate market payments.

The latest death cross appears among the growing macroeconomic uncertainty. Actions have been going on from the early stages of the tariff war, variability increases, and fear still dominates in the mood of investors. For some investors, the Bitcoin death cross may be the last blow to hope for the next rally. Early signs of surrender from low -term owners may already appear.

Still, not everyone can see the destruction before us.

The death of Bitcoins exceeds history

By definition, the death cross confirms the end of the stubborn phase. When the 50-day is falling below 200-day, it suggests that the last price actions have weakened in relation to the long-term trend. Its counterpart, the golden cross, occurs when the opposite happens – often heralding a recent rally.

From the very beginning, Bitcoin has experienced 10 such deaths, and 11. He has now developed. The analysis of their dates and duration gives a sedate insight: every bears included the death cross, but not every death of death led to a bear. This distinction is the key to understanding the current configuration.

Indeed, there are two types of deaths of death: those that occur during bear markets and the rest. Three deaths of death, which were created in the markets of bear in 2014-2015, 2018 and 2022, were long and painful. They lasted from 9 to 13 months and saw payments between 55% and 68% from the day of cross to the bottom of the cycle.

The remaining seven was much less sedate. They lasted from 1.5 months to 3.5 months and meant that bitcoins fell anywhere from 27% to nothing. In many cases, these signals meant local DNA and then renovated rallies.

This leads us to a critical question: is Bitcoin already on the bears, or is it another bear’s trap?

Bearish?

If Bitcoin is really on the territory of the bear, like Cryptochan CEO Ki Newborn JU believesThe current Cross of Death can signal 6 to 12 months of action down. This perspective is in line with its observations of the difference between the current market capital and the realized restriction (the average cost base for each BTC portfolio).

“If a realized hat is growing, but market capital is in stagnation or falls, it means that capital reached, but prices do not rise – classic bear.”

Current data clearly indicate the latter, adds Ki Newborn JU.

“Sales pressure can alleviate at any time, but historically a real reversal lasts at least six months-so a short-term rally seems unlikely.”

Other market participants disregard the presence of the death cross. Cryptographic analyst Mister Crypto argued that the current death cross is a rally configuration, not a slide. “The trap is set again. It will be the most hated rally from 2025!” He Published In addition to the chart showing the previous false signals of this cycle.

Cinshares Head of Research James Butterfill also disregarded the meaning of the signal. Like him Place itIN

“For those of you who think that the Bitcoin death cross means everything – empirically is total nonsense, and in reality a good opportunity to buy.”

Butterfill data shows that on average Bitcoin prices are only a slightly lower month after the death cross (-3.2%) and often higher three months.

Related: Trump’s tariffs are again spreading the idea that Bitcoin can survive the American dollar

Interestingly, Bitcoin is not the only warning signs. Both NASDAQ 100 and S&P 500 are on the verge of creating their own crosses of death, while individual technological supplies – including Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia and Alphabet – have already launched or are close.

The last Bitcoin movement is part of greater market reset for better or for worse. At the moment, however, he bends more towards the “inferior” side: as some analysts notice, which is bad for Nasdaq, it is also bad for Bitcoins. Unless, of course, Bitcoin does not fully claim that his role is digital gold.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and commercial movement involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.