Bitcoin increases to $ 330,000 possible because the OTC balances are falling

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Key results:

  • The Bitcoin Aviv coefficient remains below historical peak levels, which indicates potential climbing above USD 330,000 before confirming the bike.

  • Bitcoins without a prescription dropped significantly in 2025, pointing to strategic accumulation by strategy, metaplanet, blackrock and others.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) had a rocky month, but the last analysis indicates that BTC can augment another 300% in this cycle. Technical analyst Gert Van Lagen’s X Post It emphasizes the AVIV indicator, an indicator that compares the dynamic capitalization of Bitcoin (Money in Motion) with a complete investment of capitalization (realized capital, excluding Górnik awards).

Historically, when the Aviv factor exceeds its average deviation +3σ, it signaled the peak of the cycle. For example, BTC was USD 1200 in 2013, nearly USD 20,000 in 2017, and around USD 69,000 in 2021. Currently, the level of the AVIV indicator remains below these previous peaks, which suggests that Bitcoin may augment to at least USD 330,000 in this cycle, before the deflection condition is met +3σ.

Bitcoin: Aviv Historical Market Best Comparison. Source: Gert Van Lagen/X

The AVIV indicator offers a unique lens on market dynamics, reflecting investors’ activity compared to the blocked value. SKOK indicates increased trade or profit, often preceding the main price movements. Van Lagen analysis is associated with the cyclical nature of Bitcoin, in which post-Anda rallies historically achieved significant profits. However, its predictive accuracy is lacking in validation in various market conditions, and variability remains an ambiguous card.

Adding to the narrative, data from Cryptochant It reveals a significant change: Bitcoin Holdings on without a prescription (OTC) desks fell from 166 500 to 137 400 in 2025. This decline suggests that vast investors are moving resources on stock exchanges, potentially signaling reduced sales pressure or transition towards long -term storage.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoins price, markets, price analysis, market analysis
Bitcoin: Total otc balance. Source: Cryptoquant

Falling balances on OTC desks this year result from the strategic accumulation of institutional investors conducted by aggressive strategy purchases, and modern participants, such as Metaplanet, who collected 10,000 BTC, as well as a solid net influx to ETF Bitcoin, which together USD 128.18 billion in net value. The Blackrock cryptography portfolio also has over $ 70 billion in BTC, which summarizes the current intentions of the main investors on the market.

Related: 25% Bitcoin prices rally

Energy law puts the target price of Bitcoins from USD 220,000 to 330,000

Like the target price of Van Lagen in the amount of USD 330,000, another study conducted by Bitcoin Sminston with a description of a comparable BTC cycle. Along with the analysis, it uses a 365-day straight movable average (SMA) adapted to the energy law model (R² = 0.96), the price of Bitcoin design can reach in this cycle from 220,000 to 330,000 USD.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoins price, markets, price analysis, market analysis
Bitcoin Power Law Fit Analysis by Sminston z. Source: X

Currently trading around USD 104,000, BTC would need an augment in 100% to 200% to achieve these levels, in accordance with historical peaks, at which prices doubled or tripled above the line trend line.

The collected challenge related to I assumes decreasing variability, showing that Bitcoin price cycles retain significant swings, as evidenced by constant deviations from the trend line. Although the optimist, the researcher warns that the analysis results from only four market cycles, calling for skepticism.

Similarly, CointeLgraph has announced that a list of 30 gable indicators of the Cinglass Bulls market suggests that Bitcoin may augment to USD 230,000, and none signals the upper cycle, despite reaching BTC 112,000 USD. Indicators such as PI Cycle Top and MVRV show that the bull market takes place to be launched, supporting bullish perspectives.

Related: Bitcoin below $ 100,000 now “less likely” as BTC prices BTC at USD 106,000

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and commercial movement involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.

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