Bitcoin enters in mid -2025. consolidating just below the ups of all time, moving in a turbulent year marked deep macro and geopolitical variability. The year began with the renovated tariff policy of the US President Donald Trump, which shook global commercial relations and risk resources for pressure. Soon the growing crops of the US treasury occurred, increasing the fears of systemic fragility, because the inflation pressure collided with exacerbation of liquidity. Recently, an outbreak of direct conflict between Israel and Iran has increased fear in financial markets, which caused a change towards sheltered paradise such as gold.

In this background, Bitcoin remained resistant, currently consolidating over $ 100,000 after reaching USD 112,000 at the beginning of the year. While some investors are afraid of increased sales pressure due to global instability, others believe that the current structure indicates strength rather than weakness. According to the best analysts, TED pillows did not change fundamentally for BTC. His technical perspective claims that Bitcoin still reflects the long -term Gold trajectory and remains at the next breakthrough in the coming weeks.

Since the risk of inflation is still occurring, fiat fears and capital revolve towards scarce assets, many observe bitcoins not as a speculative game, but as a macro security. Breaking above $ 112,000 can cause another explosive movement.

Bitcoins variability is enriched when macro pressure is built

Bitcoin is holding a company above USD 103,000, although it has not broke the amount of USD 112,000 of all time last week. The rejection led to a edged correction of 6%, and the bears tried to force the price below key demand zones. However, despite the intense macro pressure and geopolitical risk escalation, bitcoin remains structurally intact. The conflict between Israel and Iran sent shock waves through global markets, pushing sheltered assets such as oil and gold, while the actions hesitate. Bitcoin, often seen as digital gold, surprisingly showed strength in chaos.

The coming week can be crucial for BTC. If the tension has deteriorated and established markets slide further, Bitcoin will test its developing role as a macro protection. Investors carefully observe whether capital is still changing into BTC in the conditions of the risk department.

TED pillows remain hopeful. His Technical analysis He suggests that nothing has changed structurally for bitcoins. According to his opinion, BTC tightly follows the historical patterns of Gold’s breakthrough, which suggests that the digital resource only consolidates in front of the next leg. Bitcoin long -term forecasts are focused at 160,000–180,000 USD according to the highest cycle level.

BTC consolidates the resistance below

Bitcoin currently has USD 105,527 after an unsuccessful attempt to break USD 112,000 at the beginning of this month. The chart shows a clear rejection of this versatile area, pushing the price back to the range of 103 600–109 $ 300. This zone remains the basic battlefield between bulls and bears.

The 50-day walking average, currently around USD 103,426, acts as active support, while 200-day has nearly USD 95,650 remains a wider trend line for longer owners. The volume slightly decreased during the last decline, which may indicate that the sale is not strongly convinced by market participants.

If BTC has a level of USD 103,600 – the previous resistance is now inverted support – it can determine the scene for the next pressure in the direction of USD 109,300. Breaking above this level would probably open the door to discover prices above USD 112,000. However, if Bitcoin does not maintain an area of ​​USD 103,600, he risk returning to the region 97,000-100 000 USD, in which the previous demand was tested in May.

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