Is Bitcoin heading to the crash? Veteran Trader sees 75% failure

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A recent escalate in Bitcoin prices has not stopped warnings about a violent decline. After an escalate of 1.87% within 24 hours and 3.61% over the last week, Bitcoin trad nearly USD 109,192. According to Peter Brandt, an experienced salesman, these profits can be the largest disaster for years.

The emergency scenario presented

According to Brandt’s analysis, Bitcoin It can immerse up by 75%. If this happens, today’s price $ 109,800 would drop to around 27,290 USD. This level takes us back to the fall from the beginning of 2023. It would sharpen a enormous part of the value, withdrawing over two years of profits. Few investors have models ready for such a steep slide.

Historical similarities from 2022

Based on the reports, Brandt sees a replay of the 2022 chart. Then Bitcoin reached the peaks of 65,000. USD in April 2021 and USD 69,000 in November 2021. Then it fell on bears, losing more than half of its value.

This time, the best cryptocurrencies in the world formed a maximum of over USD 108,000 in December 2024 and January 2025, and then fell below $ 100,000. After recovering nearly USD 112,000 last month, BTC may prepare for a similar division.

Liberating points to watch

Key technical markers flash red. The 9-speed EMA has just exceeded the 21-speed EMA on the daily table. In previous sales, this crossover meant the beginning of enormous inheritance factors.

Traders will want to see if Bitcoin is closing below EMA for a week or longer. Non -compliance with USD 108,000 may be the ultimate trigger before the panic entry.

BTC currently has USD 109,269. Chart: TradingView

Market reactions and risk

Data on derivatives are mixed, but bears bend. The amount of trade increased by almost 30% to $ 100 billion, and open interest increased by 1%. In Binance and OKX, long/miniature relations are at the level of about 0.5501 and 0.53, showing more shorts than long.

When too many people were put on a drop, there may be squeezing – if the failure does not start soon. Despite this, the current crowding may go back if Bitcoin keeps the support above.

Funds related to bitcoins over the past week over the past week over the past week over the past week during the last week. This may seem enormous, but it is less than 0.2% of managed assets worth about $ 50 billion.

Whereas, Ethereum The products attracted $ 295 million. So while some money leaves bitcoins, it turns into crypto, not completely escapes.

For now, Bitcoin is sitting at a crossroads. Will he break the support and move in the middle of $ 20,000? Can he shake off the warnings and press higher? Either way, traders must carefully observe the USD 108,000 zone.

According to Brandt, a 75% decrease could surprise unprepared investors. Risk and maintaining tight orders now seems more critical than ever.

A distinguished picture from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

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