Macroeconomist Lyn Alden expects Bitcoin to end 2025 higher than his current price around USD 85,000, although she claims that he would be much higher if it wasn’t for the tariff announcement of US President Donald Trump in February.
“I would have a higher target price in front of the entire Kerfffle tariff,” Alden he said Natalie Brunell in the Coin Stories episode of April 17. “My guess is that at the end of the year we are finishing higher than now,” she added.
Bitcoin 24/7 increases trade variability when Tradfi “goes crazy”
However, she said that “massive fluidity” could be a catalyst needed for Bitcoins (BTC) to achieve more hopeful goals, just like before the introduction of tariffs.
For example, if the American bond market has “broke” and the US Federal Reserve had to enter into means such as the control curve control or quantitative soothing (QE), explained Alden.
While Alden said that there was a “great chance” Bitcoin regains the price of $ 100,000 before the end of the year, she emphasized that “Down Down Days” on the market will remain a challenge for assets, especially since Bitcoin sales 24/7, as opposed to classic stock exchanges with commercial hours.
“Because it trades 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, if people are worried about how everything opens on Monday, some capital pools can sell their bitcoins on Sunday and prepare,” she said.
Alden explained that Crypto trade contributes entirely to its “unstable prices”, especially when classic financial markets “go crazy”.
At the time of publication, Bitcoin trads $ 84,950, According to For Coinmarketcap data.
However, Alden said that Bitcoin can “disconnect” from Nasdaq 100, especially in situations that “will hurt NASDAQ margins” without affecting global liquidity. As an example, she pointed to the potential repetition of five years preceding the global financial crisis in 2008, which according to her can be beneficial for Bitcoin.
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She pointed to the period 2003–2007, in which there was a weaker cycle of the American dollar, and although there was no mass exodus of capital, he sailed to “emerging markets”, goods, gold and other assets – with American actions, they are not “not really a place”.
“If we encounter such a five -year period again, it can be a period when Bitcoin is doing quite well, even because the American stock market is not doing particularly well.”
Alden wrote in the September research report that Bitcoin is moving towards the global M2 83% of the time in a given 12-month period.
In the “Bitcoin Global Barometer of liquidity”, bitcoins were compared with other main asset classes, such as SPX, Gold and VT, and BTC was at the top of the correlation indicator on global fluidity.
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