Key points:

• Bitcoin does not have variability catalysts thanks to the American public holidays and the Federal Reserve “Nothburger”, say the participants of the cryptographic market.

• The dates of war in the US start a central place in the field of risk assets.

• This month, BTC’s price is still expected to leave its narrow range.

Bitcoin (BTC) became listless on June 19, when the analysis chose key dates of cryptocurrency variability.

July, August bring a novel risk of cryptocurrencies

Data from CointeLraph Markets Pro i TradingView He showed that BTC/USD operate in a narrow range, while not securing USD 105,000 as support.

The combination of geopolitical uncertainty, combined with the federal reserve policy, as well as the American Juteenth holiday with a closed stock exchange, contributed to the BTC price.

About the Fed, which decided to maintain interest rates at the meeting with June 18, the QCP Capital Commercial Firma emphasized the reluctance of officials to move quickly.

“Officials repeated their preferences regarding the approach” Wait and see “, waiting for greater clarity in the field of inflation trajectory”, wrote in his last Bulletin for Subscribers Telegram Channel.

Data from the CME group Fedwatch tool It was shown that the markets still favor the reduction of the rate in September.

Instead, QCP focused on future dates in the ongoing trade war in the US as a probable source of cryptographic variability and risk.

“Negotiations remain in stagnation and the leaks have become repetitive. Markets may now be less reactive to incremental tariff headers,” he argued.

The key dates cover July 14, when the EU is to impose retaliation tariffs on American goods, and on August 12, when the tariff to China expires.

“These upcoming dates can introduce an episodic variability of defects to risk assets,” added QCP, noting that the “stable result” in China was even more likely.

Bitcoin moves the “Nothburger” FOMC arms

In shorter framework, Bitcoin traders were still waiting for the volatility catalyst to shake down.

Related: 112 thousand USD BTC was not the “peak of the bull market”: 5 things to Poznań in Bitcoin this week

The popular salesman Daan Crypto Trades saw a good chance of it in the second half of June, and even this week.

“Still hanging around the area of ​​$ 105,000, which is a means of monthly coverage and well for a month”, he he said X observes in part of his latest analysis.

“The price is compressed and it is clear that the market is waiting for great traffic. Statistics are still conducive to further resettlement this week, and especially this month.”

Another Skeew trader has joined those who see a potential journey to get the smoothness of offers of approximately USD 103,000.

$ Btc
Update:
Still chopping, but eyes on this liquidity worth 105 thousand. USD

Next area for decent offer liquidity 103 thousand. USD, but again 105,000 USD https://t.co/xpovzguryrr pic.twitter.com/ekwyvemjmp

– SKEW δ (@52KSKEW) June 19, 2025

Meanwhile, a cryptographic trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe described the Fed event as “Nothbburg”.

“I suppose that in the coming days we will see a test of USD 106,000 and a breakthrough anticipated on the day.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and commercial movement involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.