Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum’s price has struggled to maintain itself and even after the cryptocurrency market recovers, the price remains below $4,000, which is a major psychological level. Taking this into account, it seems that the cryptocurrency will end October in the red, having already lost almost 5% of its value this month. However, with November passing quickly, Ethereum’s price may see a rebound as November has historically been green for the market.

November may be the key to Ethereum’s price

Looking at history price data for Ethereum on the CryptoRank website there appears to be a balance between years where the month was red and years where it was red green. There were five years in the decade where Ethereum price has seen increases in November and five years where losses occurred.

However, there seems to be a rather bullish trend here: in years where the month was green, double-digit gains were recorded, which ultimately translated into greater profits than losses. As a result, the average return for the month is 6.93% and the median return, although low, also remains positive at 1.42%.

Given the fact that there is no clear trend indicating where the price is heading, bears and bulls seem to have an equal chance. However, if it turns out to be in the green, it is likely that the Ethereum price will see double-digit growth. Such a move would aid it quickly overcome the resistance at the $4,000 level.

The Q4 still has potential

Ethereum’s quarterly price returns aren’t exactly the best in the last quarter of the year, but that doesn’t change the fact altcoins usually do quite well Generally. There is also a tendency for Q4 to end in green if the previous Q2 and Q3 were green, which is currently the case.

In the second quarter of 2025, the Ethereum price ended with an average positive return of 36.5%, and the third quarter saw its highest return ever at 66.7%. With the lowest trend in October, this year we are already dealing with a decline of 4.83%, but there are still over 2 months left, there is still time to change something.

Only one year in history did the Ethereum price end the fourth quarter in the red, after the second and third quarters ended in the green, and that was nine years ago, in 2016. Since then, the ETH price has always remained on an upward trend. It was similar in 2017, and then in 2020 and 2021.

Since then, this trend has not returned, and 2025 is the first time in four years that the Ethereum price ended both Q2 and Q3 in the green. If historic performance It is claimed that before the end of the year, the price of Ethereum may enhance by an average of 50% or even double, as it happened in 2017 and 2020.

Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com