The monthly XRP/BTC chart has finally broken the long diagonal that has been limiting XRP since 2018, and one analyst at X believes this shift could change the pecking order. Posting under the handle X Finance Bull (XFB), the analyst argued this XRP will soon start outperforming Bitcoin.
This is because the XRP/BTC pair not only broke, but also retested the trendline as support, which confirmed the beginning of a recent growth of dynamics.
Retest of the six-year breakout trend line
The mid-October flash crash that swept through the cryptocurrency market left a evident mark on the XRP/BTC chart, creating a deep downtrend that briefly dipped below the long-standing resistance trendline. However, as Bitcoin began to recover above $110,000, XRP has struggled to keep pace and lost ground against Bitcoin.
Interestingly, the price action shows that this move was short-lived and XRP began to recover relative to Bitcoin during recent trading sessions. As you can see in the monthly candlestick timeframe chart below, the wick has dropped right to the breakout retest level, which is the point where previous resistance has turned into recent support.
This breakout occurred at the turn of 2024 and 2025, when XRP outperformed Bitcoin for three consecutive months. From there, the XRP/Bitcoin pair was able to break the downtrend resistance line with lower highs lasting for six years.
However, since then, 2025 has featured more months in which Bitcoin outperformed XRP than months in which XRP outperformed Bitcoin, with October being among the former group of months. Specifically, during the flash crash, the XRP/BTC pair dropped to around 0.000007 before recovering almost immediately, which XFB says marks a long-awaited retest of the broken trendline.
XRP/Bitcoin 1M chart. Source: @Xfinancebull
Since this retest, XRP has seen impressive improvement, with the pair maintaining a monthly close above the diagonal that once acted as a ceiling. This technical confirmation signals the end of the break from the 2018-2024 downtrend that defined XRP’s multi-year underperformance relative to Bitcoin. The monthly structure is currently showing early signs of an upward shift, with the pair trading around 0.00002258 BTC.
Will XRP separate and surpass Bitcoin?
According to the analyst, XRP will soon undergo a surge that will far surpass Bitcoin and melt the face of many Bitcoin maximalists. The XFB chart shows two target zones ahead of XRP: 0.00014688 BTC and 0.00023009 BTC. The first target corresponds to the area of consolidation observed in 2018-2019, while the second represents the main resistance cluster from the earlier phase of XRP formation. If XRP/BTC increases to these levels, it would be equivalent approximately 6x and 10x profit relative to Bitcoin, respectively.
The analyst also connects the technical setup Ripple’s growing institutional ecosystem. He pointed out that Ripple Prime, GTreasury, Metaco, Standard Custody and Rail are part of the infrastructure that will make XRP a bridge asset for global finance. These partnerships deliver XRP will be an advantage in the coming months as it achieves true institutional utility and begins to outperform Bitcoin.
If this development continuesthe upcoming separation of the XRP/BTC pair may become one of the most essential events for XRP. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $3.63, up 3.5% in the last 24 hours.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
