Key results:

• Sminston, Bitcoin researcher from BTC, can gain 100% to 200%, at the top of the cycle from 220,000 to 330,000 USD.

• Bitcoin still shows a mighty cyclical variability, opposing the belief that his fluctuations will soften over time.

• Over $ 4 billion in BTC was transferred by long -term owners, warning against price correction.

Analysis of the Bitcoin (BTC) researcher Sminston with suggested that the BTC price is still from 100% to 200% from current prices. IN latest x post, With a divided Bitcoin price table using a 365-day straight movable average (SMA) aligned with the power of law (R² = 0.96).

The model suggests that the price of Bitcoin is consistent with the predictable, unlimited pattern in time, different from models of exponential growth often used for action and action.

The chart revealed that the 365-day Bitcoin SMA usually reaches a peak of 2 to 3 times above the law trend line in each market cycle. This model valued at USD 110,000 at USD 110,000, this model displays a potential cycle from 220,000 to 330,000 USD. This forecast is consistent with historical patterns, in which Bitcoin consistently overflows this trend in stubborn phases, offering positive perspectives to investors.

The second chart in the post emphasizes the deviation of Bitcoin prices from adapting the law of power, showing a constant cyclical variability without exponential distribution at lasting peaks.

This questions the widespread belief that Bitcoin price cycles become less extreme with time, which indicates that the variability of cryptocurrency remains a defining feature, potentially leading to significant price fluctuations over the next few months.

In Q3 2024, with exactly expected that Bitcoin will reach a six -digit price until January 2025, when BTC traded about USD 60,000. The analysis examined every unfolding peak, assessing the price of BTC at the highest levels of the cycle.

The falling period in the investment cycle occurs when the phrases of the strategy fall, when the opportunity becomes widely accepted, and the culmination is the peak at which the value of the asset is rapidly decreasing, which leads to mass profit acceptance.

In the case of quarter prices for 2025, as described in this analysis, summarized below.

The researcher warned that his study was based on only four market cycles and should be approached with significant skepticism.

Related: Bitcoins price will reach 130,000 USD, and even USD 1.5 million, say the best bulls

Bitcoin will fall below $ 108,000, when elderly coins transfer $ 4.2 billion in BTC

Bitcoin (LTH) long -term owners transferred $ 4.02 billion in BTC, the largest volume of Kohort expenditure from 1 to 5 years from February 2025, According to Glassnode. This boost, driven by Kohort 3 to 5 years ($ 2.16 billion), occupies the fifth largest in this cycle, after previous peaks of expenses of USD 9.25 billion in October 2024.

Kohorts from 2 to 3 years and 1 to 2 years have contributed to USD 1.41 billion and USD 450 million, respectively, for a total volume issued by age.

As shown in the chart, LTH expenses are often in line with price prices, suggesting to gain profits, with BTC trying to stop its position above USD 110,000.

However, pointed price movements can occur if this movement coincides with the boost in BTC replacement reserves. Currently total BTC takes place on the stock exchanges will still fall.

From a technical point of view, Bitcoin sets higher ups and downs since its price was 74,500 USD, and each time after recent ups BTC has created a range aside before the next breakthrough.

Continuous correction reflects this pattern, with the latest local minima of USD 107,300, previously marked as local maxim 10 days earlier. However, deeper correction can be inevitable in the case of bitcoins.

On the basis of historical data, the anonymous Cryptographic Trader TXMC noticed that Bitcoin could approach the end of the green weekly series. The analyst said

“BTC from seven to eight consecutive green weeks is the longest Bitcoin streaks, which Bitcoin has been managed since 2013, before he withdrew or consolidated. Last week was number 7”.

Related: Bitcoin SAG below 108 thousand USD, because the factories are evaporated with feds before minutes

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and commercial movement involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.