Key points:
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Markets more and more often see less cuts of the Fed rates this year, and the first appeared only in September.
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The analysis says that despite the potential weakness of the labor market, cryptography and risk assets, they do not have a general stubborn catalyst.
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BTC/USD is still falling towards fresh minimal minima.
Bitcoin (BTC) sold at Wall Street on May 28, because the markets still valued interest rates in the USA.
BTC Retreats price with factories lowered at the FED rate
Data from CointeLraph Markets Pro i TradingView He showed BTC/USD immersion below USD 108,000 to challenge multi -day minimages.
Before the protect of the May Federal Reserve meeting, the mood among risk assets was cautious.
CME group Fedwatch tool He showed a reduction in the chances of lowering speed – a key wind for cryptography, wrestling and others – before September.
Informal sentiments also still deteriorated during the day, with the forecast service Kalshi Seeing only two cuts in 2025, out of four at the beginning of April.
📊 Update: Valuation markets now only 2 FED rate reductions in 2025, down 4 at the beginning of this year, because uncertainty is built before the Fed. pic.twitter.com/vayljgjjwf
– Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) May 28, 2025
In his latest analysis, the commercial resources of the Kobeissi letter, however, revealed a potential silver lining.
He informed that the mood of consumers on the labor market flashed the classic signs of the upcoming growth of unemployment – something that can force the FED to raise foot reductions.
“The assessment of current work availability has also dropped in the last 3 years. In previous economic cycles, this record was a leading indicator of unemployment”, IT he said X followers.
“This indicator clearly suggests a further increase in the unemployment rate in the coming months. The labor market still shows signs of weakness.”
Risk assets do not have a variability trigger
Meanwhile, the BTC price campaign Bidding fluidity Along the way, something that the popular Theingfisher salesman warned before, can be a “trigger” for further losses if it is broken.
Related: Bitcoin whales are constantly buying because the goals of immersion of BTC prices include 94 thousand. USD
“However, a more striking feature is a huge wall of short liquidations directly above, starting from USD 108,900 and stretching up significantly, especially about 109000–109200 USD”, “,”, “,” recognized.
“This creates a significant biased imbalance towards short liquidation.”
Thanks to BTC/USD Biegbound from the time of all -time departure of USD 112,000, macro analysis from the QCP Capital trading company finally suggested a little chance to break the price without the appropriate catalyst.
“Variability in most asset classes continues to drift lower, because the markets are burdened among the significant flow of messages and macroeconomic data,” he wrote in his newsletter to subscribers of the telegram channel on that day.
“The information cycle remains tenacious, but the markets seem more and more succumbing to negative achievements, rejecting the headers that could once cause more significant reactions.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and commercial movement involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making decisions.